ATRIAL FIBRILLATION





Acronyms




DEFINITIONS












PREVALENCE



SCREENING



RISK FACTORS



PHYSIOLOGY




DIAGNOSIS








RATE VS RHYTHM CONTROL


  • Reference [22]
Factors to consider when choosing a rate vs rhythm strategy
Favors rate control Variable Favors rhythm control
Patient factors
Prefers rate control Patient choice Prefers rhythm control
Older Age Younger
Longer history of AF Antecedent history of AF Shorter history of AF
Fewer symptoms Symptom burden More symptoms
Physiologic factors
Heart rate easy to control AF rate control Heart rate hard to control
Larger left atrium Left atrium size Smaller left atrium
Less LV dysfunction Left ventricular function More LV dysfunction
Less atrioventricular regurgitation Atrioventricular regurgitation More atrioventricular regurgitation


RCT
AFFIRM Study - Rate Control vs Rhythm Control in AF, NEJM (2002) [PubMed abstract]
  • The AFFIRM study enrolled 4060 patients with atrial fibrillation
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age ≥ 65 years
  • AF deemed to be recurrent and likely symptomatic
  • Additional risk factors for stroke or death
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 70 years
  • Hypertension - 51%
  • CAD - 26%
  • History of CHF - 23%
  • Previously failed antiarrhythmic drug - 17.6%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (2027 patients) - Rate control only with beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, and/or digoxin. Target rate was ≤ 80 bpm resting and ≤ 110 bpm with six-minute walk test. Continuous anticoagulation with warfarin was mandated.
  • Group 2 (2033 patients) - Rhythm control with common antiarrhythmic drugs. Cardioversion as needed. Anticoagulation with warfarin could be stopped if sinus rhythm was maintained for 4 - 12 weeks.
Primary outcome: Overall mortality
Results

Duration: Average of 3.5 years
Outcome Rate control Rhythm control Comparisons
Primary outcome 25.9% 26.7% p=0.08
Stroke or brain bleed 7.4% 8.9% p=0.93
Any hospitalization 73% 80% p<0.001
  • The following adverse events were more common in the rhythm control group than the rate control group: pulmonary event 7.3% vs 1.7%; GI event 8% vs 2.1%; bradycardia 6% vs 4.2%; prolonged QT interval 1.9% vs 0.3%
  • During the course of the study, 248 patients crossed over from the rate control group to the rhythm control group. 86 of these patients crossed back over to rate control by the end of the study.
  • During the course of the study, 594 patients crossed over from the rhythm control group to the rate control group. 61 of these patients crossed back over to rhythm control by the end of the study.
  • More than 85% of the patients in the rate control group took warfarin throughout the study. In the rhythm control group, about 70% of patients took warfarin throughout the study

Findings: Management of atrial fibrillation with the rhythm-control strategy offers no survival advantage over the rate-control strategy, and there are potential advantages, such as a lower risk of adverse drug effects, with the rate-control strategy. Anticoagulation should be continued in this group of high-risk patients.

RCT
EAST-AFNET 4 trial - Rhythm vs Rate Control Strategy in Patients with New-onset AF, NEJM (2020) [PubMed abstract]
  • The EAST-AFNET 4 trial enrolled 2789 patients with AF diagnosed within the past 12 months
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age ≥ 18 years
  • AF diagnosed within last 12 months
  • Age > 75 years OR previous TIA/Stroke OR meet two of the following: age > 65 years, female sex, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, severe CAD, chronic kidney disease (GFR 15 - 59 ml/min), LVH
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 70 years
  • Previous stroke or TIA - 12%
  • Stable heart failure - 29%
  • Average CHA2DS2-VASc score - 3.4
  • Median days since AF diagnosis - 36
  • Absence of AF symptoms - 30%
  • AF type: First episode - 38% | Paroxysmal - 36% | Persistent - 26%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (1395 patients): Early rhythm control which consisted of antiarrhythmic drugs or ablation, as well as cardioversion of persistent atrial fibrillation soon after randomization
  • Group 2 (1394 patients): Rate control therapy without rhythm control therapy. Rhythm control therapy was used only to mitigate uncontrolled atrial fibrillation–related symptoms during adequate rate control therapy.
  • Treatment of cardiovascular conditions, anticoagulation, and rate control were mandated in all patients in accordance with guideline recommendations
Primary outcomes
  • First: Composite of death from cardiovascular causes, stroke (either ischemic and hemorrhagic), or hospitalization with worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome, analyzed in a time-to-event analysis
  • Second: Number of nights spent in the hospital per year
Results

Duration: Median of 5.1 years
Outcome Rhythm control Rate control Comparisons
First primary outcome (%/year) 3.9% 5% HR 0.79 (0.66 - 0.94)
Secondary primary outcome (nights) 5.8 5.1 p=0.23
Stroke (%/year) 0.6% 0.9% HR 0.65 (0.44 - 0.97)
Death from CV causes (%/year) 1.0% 1.3% HR 0.72 (0.52 - 0.98)
Hospitalization for heart failure (%/year) 2.1% 2.6% HR 0.81 (0.65 - 1.02)
Hospitalization for coronary syndrome (%/year) 0.8% 1.0% HR 0.83 (0.58 - 1.19)
Overall mortality 9.9% 11.8% N/A
  • In the rate control group, 85.4% of patients were still not receiving rhythm control therapy at 2 years
  • In the rhythm control group, 8% of patients were initially treated with ablation and 86.8% were treated with antiarrhythmics
  • At 2 years, 88% of the patients in the rhythm control group were still receiving anticoagulants as were 91% in the rate control group
  • At 2 years, sinus rhythm was present in 82.1% of the rhythm control group and 60.5% of the rate control group
  • A secondary analysis found that baseline symptom status (symptomatic vs asymptomatic) did not affect study results. [PMID 34447995]

Findings: Early rhythm control therapy was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular outcomes than usual care among patients with early atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular conditions



TREATMENT | Rate control



RCT
RACE II Study - Strict vs Lenient Rate Control in Permanent AF, NEJM (2010) [PubMed abstract]
  • The RACE II study enrolled 614 patients with permanent atrial fibrillation
Main inclusion criteria
  • Permanent AF for 12 months
  • Age ≤ 80 years
  • Average resting heart rate > 80 bpm
  • Current use of anticoagulation or aspirin
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 68 years
  • Median duration of AF - 18 months
  • Previous cardioversion - 72%
  • CAD - 18%
  • Valvular heart disease - 20%
  • CHADS2 score: 0 or 1 - 61% | 2 - 26% | 3 to 6 - 13%
  • Average resting heart rate - 96
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (311 patients) - Lenient rate control (target resting heart rate of < 110 bpm)
  • Group 2 (303 patients) - Strict rate control (target resting heart rate of < 80 bpm, target heart rate of < 110 bpm during moderate exercise)
  • Medications used to control heart rate were beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, and digoxin
Primary outcome: Composite of death from cardiovascular causes, hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, and arrhythmic events including syncope, sustained ventricular tachycardia, cardiac arrest, life-threatening adverse effects of rate-control drugs, and implantation of a pacemaker or cardioverter–defibrillator
Results

Duration: 3 years
Outcome Lenient rate Strict rate Comparisons
Primary outcome 12.9% 14.9% HR 0.84, 95%CI [0.58 - 1.21]
Heart failure 3.8% 4.1% HR 0.97, 95%CI [0.48 - 1.96]
Stroke 1.6% 3.9% HR 0.35, 95%CI [0.13 - 0.92]
  • The average resting heart rate in the lenient group at the end of the dose adjustment phase was 93 bpm
  • The average resting heart rate in the strict group at the end of the dose adjustment phase was 76 bpm [8]

Findings: In patients with permanent atrial fibrillation, lenient rate control is as effective as strict rate control and is easier to achieve


TREATMENT | Rhythm control










RCT
EARLY-AF trial - Ablation vs Antiarrhythmics for the Initial Treatment of AF, NEJM (2020) [PubMed abstract]
  • The EARLY-AF trial enrolled 303 patients with symptomatic, paroxysmal, untreated atrial fibrillation
Main inclusion criteria
  • Symptomatic AF
  • Persistent or paroxysmal AF
  • At least 1 episode on ECG within 24 months
Main exclusion criteria
  • Permanent AF
  • Daily antiarrhythmic drug therapy
  • NYHA class III - IV heart failure
  • Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 58 years
  • Male sex - 70%
  • Median years since diagnosis - 1
  • Paroxysmal AF - 95%
  • Previous cardioversion - 39%
  • Average CHA2DS2-VASc score - 1.9
  • Anticoagulant: Warfarin - 4.5% | Other - 60%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (154 patients): Cryoablation. Median time to procedure after randomization was 50 days.
  • Group 2 (149 patients): Antiarrhythmic drug therapy according to local practices
  • After enrollment, all patients underwent insertion of an implantable cardiac monitor that continuously detected AF
  • Initial antiarrhythmic drugs used: Flecainide - 76.5% | Sotalol - 15.4% | Propafenone - 4.7% | Dronedarone - 3.4%
Primary outcome: First recurrence of any atrial tachyarrhythmia (atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia) lasting 30 seconds or longer between 91 and 365 days after the initiation of an antiarrhythmic drug or the catheter ablation procedure
Results

Duration: 1 year
Outcome Cryoablation Antiarrhythmics Comparisons
Primary outcome 42.9% 67.8% p<0.001
Symptomatic AF 11% 26.2% HR 0.39 (0.22 – 0.68)
Average % time in AF 0.6% 3.9% N/A
  • Serious adverse events occurred in 5 of the 154 patients (3.2%) in the ablation group and in 6 of the 149 patients (4.0%) in the antiarrhythmic drug group. These events included three cases of phrenic-nerve palsy in the ablation group and two cases of wide-complex tachycardia, one case of syncope, and one case of exacerbation of heart failure in the antiarrhythmic drug group.

Findings: Among patients receiving initial treatment for symptomatic, paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, there was a significantly lower rate of atrial fibrillation recurrence with catheter cryoballoon ablation than with antiarrhythmic drug therapy, as assessed by continuous cardiac rhythm monitoring.

RCT
EARLY-AF trial - 3-Year Results, NEJM (2023) [PubMed abstract]
  • Patients from the EARLY-AF trial (N=303) were followed for an additional 2 years. Results from 3-years of follow-up are presented below. All patients had implantable loop recorders placed at the beginning of the trial.

Duration: 3 years
Outcome Cryoablation Antiarrhythmics Comparisons
Persistent AF 1.9% 7.4% HR 0.25, 95%CI (0.09 – 0.70)
Any atrial tachyarrhythmia 56.5% 77.2% HR 0.51, 95%CI (0.38–0.67)
Median % time in AF 0% 0.24% N/A
  • Over 3 years of follow-up, 63 patients who had been initially assigned to the antiarrhythmic group underwent catheter ablation after arrhythmia recurrence, and 27 patients who had been initially assigned to the ablation group underwent repeat ablation.
  • There were 2 strokes and 1 TIA in the antiarrhythmic group and 0 in the ablation group

Findings: Initial treatment of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation with catheter cryoballoon ablation was associated with a lower incidence of persistent atrial fibrillation or recurrent atrial tachyarrhythmia over 3 years of follow-up than initial use of antiarrhythmic drugs.

RCT
CABANA study - Catheter Ablation vs Antiarrhythmic Drug Therapy in AF, JAMA (2019) [PubMed abstract]
  • The CABANA study enrolled 2204 patients with symptomatic AF
Main inclusion criteria
  • New onset or under-treated paroxysmal, persistent, or long-standing persistent AF
  • Age ≥ 65 years or < 65 years with ≥ 1 stroke risk factor
Main exclusion criteria
  • Failed ≥ 2 antiarrhythmic drugs
  • NYHA class IV heart failure
Baseline characteristics
  • Median age 68 years
  • Median CHA2DS2-VASc score - 3
  • Median length of time since diagnosis - 1.1 years
  • AF type: persistent 47% | paroxysmal 43% | long-standing persistent 10%
  • Past antiarrhythmic use: one drug 82% | ≥ 2 drugs 18%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (1108 patients): Catheter Ablation
  • Group 2 (1096 patients): Drug therapy
  • It was recommended that patients randomized to medical therapy receive rate control medications first. If the patient had previously failed rate control therapy, then rhythm control drug therapy could be initiated in an approach consistent with contemporaneous guidelines.
  • All patients were to receive anticoagulation based on contemporaneous guidelines. Patients who received a catheter ablation were treated with anticoagulation for at least 3 months after the ablation, with a recommendation that this be continued throughout the trial in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2
Primary outcome: Composite of death, disabling stroke, serious bleeding, or cardiac arrest
Results

Duration: Median of 48.5 months
Outcome Ablation Drug therapy Comparisons
Primary outcome 8% 9.2% HR 0.86 (0.65 - 1.15), p=0.30
Death 5.2% 6.1% HR 0.85 (0.60 - 1.21), p=0.38
Disabling stroke 0.3% 0.6% HR 0.42 (0.11 - 1.62), p=0.19
Serious bleeding 3.2% 3.3% HR 0.98 (0.62 - 1.56), p=0.93
Cardiac arrest 0.6% 1.0% HR 0.62 (0.24 - 1.61), p=0.33
  • In the drug therapy group, 28% of patients crossed over to ablation during the trial. In the catheter ablation group, 9.2% of patients did not receive ablation.
  • In the ablation group, 19.4% had repeat ablations and 44.6% received antiarrhythmic drugs at some point after ablation with 27% still receiving antiarrhythmic drugs at last follow-up
  • In the drug therapy group, 88% of patients received rhythm control drugs during the trial
  • In the ablation group, cardiac tamponade occurred in 0.8% of patients and pulmonary vein stenosis in 0.1% of patients. In the drug therapy group, thyroid disorders occurred in 1.6% of patients and proarrhythmia in 0.8% of patients.
  • A secondary analysis that only included subjects with heart failure (NYHA class ≥ II) at baseline (N=778) found that ablation was superior to antiarrhythmics for the primary outcome and overall mortality [PMID 33554614]

Findings: Among patients with AF, the strategy of catheter ablation, compared with medical therapy, did not significantly reduce the primary composite endpoint of death, disabling stroke, serious bleeding, or cardiac arrest. However, the estimated treatment effect of catheter ablation was affected by lower-than-expected event rates and treatment crossovers, which should be considered in interpreting the results of the trial.

RCT
CASTLE-AF - Ablation vs Medical Therapy for AF in Heart Failure with Reduced EF, NEJM (2018) [PubMed abstract]
  • The CASTLE-AF trial enrolled 363 patients with NYHA class II - IV heart failure and AF
Main inclusion criteria
  • Symptomatic paroxysmal or persistent AF
  • EF ≤ 35%
  • NYHA class ≥ II
  • Dual chamber ICD implanted
Main exclusion criteria
  • Left atrial diameter > 6 cm
  • Previous ablation
Baseline characteristics
  • Median age - 64 years
  • Median EF - 32%
  • NYHA class: I - 11% | II - 59% | III - 28% | IV - 2%
  • AF type: Paroxysmal - 33% | Persistent - 67%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (179 patients): Ablation followed by warfarin for 6 months. After 6 months, treatment was at provider's discretion.
  • Group 2 (184 patients): Medical therapy (rate or rhythm control) at provider's discretion. A rhythm control strategy was used in 30% of patients.
  • All patients were required to have an implantable cardioverter–defibrillator (ICD) device or a cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D)
Primary outcome: Composite of death from any cause or hospitalization for worsening heart failure
Results

Duration: Median 37.8 months
Outcome Ablation Medical therapy 1 vs 2
Primary outcome 28.5% 44.6% HR 0.62, 95%CI [0.43 - 0.87], p=0.007
Overall mortality 13.4% 25% HR 0.53, 95%CI [0.32 - 0.86], p=0.01
CHF hospitalization 20.7% 35.9% HR 0.56, 95%CI [0.37 - 0.83], p=0.004
  • In the ablation group, 15.6% of patients did not receive ablation. In the medical therapy group, 9.8% of patients received ablation.
  • In the ablation group, 25% of patients had a repeat ablation

Findings: Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure was associated with a significantly lower rate of a composite end point of death from any cause or hospitalization for worsening heart failure than was medical therapy.

RCT
CASTLE-HTx study - Ablation vs Medical Therapy for AF in End-Stage Heart Failure, NEJM (2023) [PubMed abstract]
  • The CASTLE-HTx study enrolled 194 patients with symptomatic AF and end-stage HFrEF referred for heart transplantation evaluation
Main inclusion criteria
  • End-stage HFrEF
  • Symptomatic AF
  • Referred for heart transplant or LV assist device
  • NYHA class ≥ II
  • LVEF ≤ 35%
  • Impaired functional capacity
Main exclusion criteria
  • Left atrial diameter > 6 cm
  • Previous ablation
  • Life expectancy ≤ 12 months
  • Uncontrolled hypertension
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 63 years
  • Male - 80%
  • Average EF - 27%
  • Average duration of AF - 3.5 years
  • Persistent AF - 69%
  • Previous cardioversion - 65%
  • NYHA class: II - 32% | III - 55% | IV - 13%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (97 patients): Ablation with cardioversion
  • Group 2 (97 patients): Medical therapy
  • Medical therapy was according to AHA guidelines with the intent of maintaining sinus rhythm and heart rate control
Primary outcome: Composite of death from any cause, implantation of a left ventricular assist device, or urgent heart transplantation
Results

Duration: Stopped for efficacy at 1 year
Outcome Ablation Medical therapy Comparisons
Primary outcome 8% 30% p<0.001
Overall mortality 6% 20% HR 0.29, 95%CI [0.12 to 0.72]
LV assist device implantation 1% 10% HR 0.09, 95%CI (0.01 to 0.70)
Urgent heart transplant 1% 6% HR 0.15, 95%CI (0.02 to 1.25)
  • At 12 months, EF had improved by 7.8% in the ablation group and 1.4% in the medical therapy group (diff 6.4%, 95%CI [4.1% to 8.7%])
  • There were 3 procedure-related complications in the ablation group; all were related to the vascular access site

Findings: Among patients with atrial fibrillation and end-stage heart failure, the combination of catheter ablation and guideline-directed medical therapy was associated with a lower likelihood of a composite of death from any cause, implantation of a left ventricular assist device, or urgent heart transplantation than medical therapy alone.


TREATMENT | Weight loss



TREATMENT | Alcohol reduction



STROKE PREVENTION


  • Sum the scores for each criterion the patient meets
  • Reference [12]
CHA2DS2-VASc risk criteria Score
Prior stroke, TIA, or thromboembolism 2
Age ≥ 75 2
Hypertension 1
Diabetes 1
Heart Failure 1
Vascular disease (CAD or PVD) 1
Age 65 - 74 1
Female sex 1

  • Reference [12]
Annual risk of stroke based on CHA2DS2-VASc score
CHA2DS2-VASc SCORE Annual Stroke Rate
0 0%
1 1.3%
2 2.2%
3 3.2%
4 4.0%
5 6.7%
6 9.8%
7 9.6%
8 6.7%
9 15.2%


  • Sum the scores for each criterion the patient meets
  • Reference [1,2]
CHADS2 risk criteria Score
Prior stroke, TIA, or thromboembolism 2
Age ≥ 75 1
Hypertension 1
Diabetes 1
Heart Failure 1

  • Reference [1]
Annual risk of stroke based on CHADS2 score
CHADS2 score Annual Stroke Rate
0 1.9%
1 2.8%
2 4%
3 5.9%
4 8.5%
5 12.5%
6 18.2%

AHA 2023 stroke prevention recommendations in AF
CHA2DS2-VASc score
Men Women Treatment
≥ 2 ≥ 3
  • In patients who do not have a history of moderate to severe rheumatic mitral stenosis or a mechanical heart valve, DOACs (Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban, Apixaban, Edoxaban) are recommended over warfarin
1 2
  • Anticoagulation is reasonable to prevent stroke and systemic thromboembolism
  • Patients who remain uncertain about the benefit of anticoagulation, can benefit from consideration of factors that might modify their risk of stroke (e.g., alcohol intake, physical activity, BP control) to help inform the decision
Mechanical heart valve or
moderate or greater mitral stenosis
  • Warfarin is recommended





STROKE PREVENTION | Atrial appendage closure/occlusion


RCT
PROTECT AF Study - Atrial Appendage Closure with the Watchman Device vs Warfarin in Nonvalvular AF, Lancet (2009) [PubMed abstract]
  • The PROTECT AF study enrolled 707 adults with nonvalvular AF
Main inclusion criteria
  • Paroxysmal, persistent, or permanent nonvalvular AF
  • CHADS2 score ≥ 1
Main exclusion criteria
  • Patent foramen ovale with atrial septal aneurysm and right-to-left shunt
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 72 years
  • CHADS2 score: 1 ∼ 30% | 2 ∼ 35% | 3 ∼ 20% | 4 ∼ 9% | 5 ∼ 4%
  • AF category: paroxysmal - 41% | persistent - 21% | permanent - 36% | unknown - 1%
  • AF onset: < 1 year - 18% | ≥ 1 year - 76% | unknown - 5.5%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (463 patients) - Watchman® device insertion + warfarin for 45 days. If device was positioned correctly, then warfarin was stopped and clopidogrel + aspirin was taken up until 6 months post insertion, then aspirin alone indefinitely
  • Group 2 (244 patients) - Warfarin with target INR of 2 - 3
Primary outcomes
  • Efficacy: Composite of stroke, cardiovascular death, or systemic embolism
  • Safety: Composite of major bleeding, pericardial effusion, or device embolization
Results

Duration: Average of 18 months
Outcome Watchman device Warfarin Comparisons
Primary efficacy outcome (%/year) 3% 4.9% Rate ratio 0.62, 95%CI [0.35 - 1.25]
Primary safety outcome (%/year) 7.4% 4.4% Rate ratio 1.69, 95%CI [1.01 - 3.19]
All-cause mortality (%/year) 3% 4.8% Rate ratio 0.62, 95%CI [0.34 - 1.24]
  • In the warfarin group, the INR was therapeutic (between 2 - 3) 66% of the time
  • In the Watchman group, 86% of implanted patients were able to stop warfarin at 45 days. At 6 months, 92% of implanted patients were able to stop.
  • The Watchman device was successfully implanted in 88% of patients (91% of those where implantation was attempted)
  • Risks of the procedure included pericardial effusion (4.8%), procedure-related stroke (1.1%), and device embolization (0.6% of patients) [10]

Findings: The efficacy of percutaneous closure of the LAA with this device was non-inferior to that of warfarin therapy. Although there was a higher rate of adverse safety events in the intervention group than in the control group, events in the intervention group were mainly a result of periprocedural complications. Closure of the LAA might provide an alternative strategy to chronic warfarin therapy for stroke prophylaxis in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.

RCT
PROTECT AF Study 3.8-Year Results, JAMA (2014) [PubMed abstract]
  • All the participants in the PROTECT AF Study above were followed for an average of 3.8 years. Results from 3.8 years are presented in the table below.

Duration: Average 3.8 years
Outcome Watchman device Warfarin Comparisons
Primary efficacy outcome (%/year) 2.3% 3.8% HR 0.61, 95%CI [0.38 - 0.97], p=0.04
Primary safety outcome (%/year) 3.6% 3.1% HR 1.21, 95%CI [0.78 - 1.94], p=0.41
All-cause mortality 14.5% 21.5% HR 0.66, 95%CI [0.45 - 0.98], p=0.04

Findings: After 3.8 years of follow-up among patients with nonvalvular AF at elevated risk for stroke, percutaneous LAA closure met criteria for both noninferiority and superiority, compared with warfarin, for preventing the combined outcome of stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular death, as well as superiority for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.

RCT
PROTECT AF Study 5-Year Results, JACC (2017) [PubMed abstract]
  • All the participants in the PROTECT AF Study above were followed for an average of 5 years. Results from 5 years are presented in the table below.

Duration: Average 5 years
Outcome Watchman device Warfarin Comparisons
Primary efficacy outcome (%/year) 2.24% 3.66% p=0.04

Findings: These 5-year outcomes of the PREVAIL trial, combined with the 5-year outcomes of the PROTECT AF trial, demonstrate that LAAC with Watchman provides stroke prevention in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation comparable to warfarin, with additional reductions in major bleeding, particularly hemorrhagic stroke, and mortality.







STROKE PREVENTION | AHRE and Subclinical AF


RCT
NOAH-AFNET 6 trial - Edoxababn vs Placebo for Atrial High-Rate Episodes, NEJM (2023) [PubMed abstract]
  • The NOAH-AFNET 6 trial enrolled 2536 patients 65 and older with ≥ 1 stroke risk factor and an AHRE lasting at least 6 minutes detected by an implantable device
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age 65 and older
  • AHRE with rate ≥ 170 beats/min lasting 6 minutes or longer captured by pacemaker, defibrillator, resynchronization device, or implanted loop recorder
  • One or more of the following: heart failure, HTN, DM, previous stroke/TIA, CVD, age ≥ 75 years
Main exclusion criteria
  • Atrial fibrillation on ECG
  • ACS, PCI, or CABG within 30 days
  • Other indication for anticoagulation
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 78 years
  • AHRE detected by pacemaker - 82%
  • Median number of AHREs - 2.8
  • Median AHRE duration - 2.8 hours
  • Median CHA2DS2-VASc score - 4
  • Previous stroke or TIA - 10%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (1270 patients): Edoxaban 60 mg once daily
  • Group 2 (1266 patients): Placebo or aspirin 100 mg/day, depending if patient had an indication for antiplatelet therapy
  • Edoxaban dose was reduced to 30 mg/day if body weight ≤ 60 kg, CrCl 15 to 50 ml/min, or concomitant strong P-glycoprotein inhibitor
Primary outcomes:
  • Efficacy: First occurrence of a composite of cardiovascular death, stroke, or systemic embolism, evaluated in a time-to-event analysis
  • Safety: composite of death from any cause or major bleeding, as defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis
Results

Duration: The trial was stopped early due to futility after a median of 21 months
Outcome Edoxaban Placebo/ASA Comparisons
Primary efficacy outcome (% per patient-yr) 3.2% 4.0% p=0.15
Primary safety outcome (% per patient-yr) 5.9% 4.5% p=0.03
Ischemic stroke (% per patient-yr) 0.9% 1.1% HR 0.79, 95%CI [0.45 to 1.39]
Overall mortality (% per patient-yr) 4.3% 3.7% p=0.28
Major bleeding (% per patient-yr) 2.1% 1.0% p=0.002
  • In the placebo/ASA group, 54% of patients received ASA
  • In both groups, ECG-diagnosed A fib occurred at a rate of 8.7% per patient-year

Findings: Among patients with AHREs detected by implantable devices, anticoagulation with edoxaban did not significantly reduce the incidence of a composite of cardiovascular death, stroke, or systemic embolism as compared with placebo, but it led to a higher incidence of a composite of death or major bleeding. The incidence of stroke was low in both groups.

RCT
ARTESIA study - Apixaban vs Aspirin in Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation, NEJM (2024) [PubMed abstract]
  • The ATRESIA trial enrolled 4012 patients with subclinical AF, defined as an AHRE lasting 6 minutes to 24 hours
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age 55 and older
  • Subclinical AF, defined as AHRE lasting 6 minutes to 24 hours detected by an implanted pacemaker, defibrillator, or cardiac monitor
  • CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 3
Main exclusion criteria
  • History of clinical AF
  • Indication for anticoagulation
  • Uncorrected major bleeding within 6 months
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 77 years
  • Average CHA2DS2-VASc score - 3.9
  • Subclinical AF detected by pacemaker - 69%
  • History of stroke, TIA, or systemic embolism - 9%
  • Taking aspirin - 57%
  • In the 6 months prior to randomization:
    • Median duration of longest subclinical AF episode - 1.47 hours
    • # of episodes: 0 - 18% | 1 to 5 - 64% | 6 to 50 - 17% | >50 - 4%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (2015 patients): Apixaban 5 mg twice daily
  • Group 2 (1997 patients): Aspirin 81 mg once daily
  • Apixaban dose was reduced to 2.5 mg twice daily if indicated in the prescribing information
  • If subclinical atrial fibrillation lasting more than 24 hours or clinical atrial fibrillation developed, patient was placed on open-label anticoagulation and their follow-up was censored
  • The concurrent use of open-label aspirin was allowed but discouraged
Primary outcomes:
  • Efficacy: Composite of stroke and systemic embolism
  • Safety: Major bleeding, as defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis
Results

Duration: Average of 3.5 years
Outcome Apixaban Aspirin Comparisons
Primary efficacy outcome (% per patient-yr) 0.78% 1.24% p=0.007
Primary safety outcome (% per patient-yr) 1.53% 1.12% p=0.04
Stroke (% per patient-yr) 0.78% 1.21% HR 0.64, 95%CI [0.46 to 0.90]
Overall mortality (% per patient-yr) 5.06% 4.82% HR 1.04, 95%CI [0.90 to 1.21]
Systemic embolism (events) 0 2 N/A
  • 24% of subjects in each group experienced clinical AF or subclinical AF lasting more than 24 hours over the course of the study

Findings: Among patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation, apixaban resulted in a lower risk of stroke or systemic embolism than aspirin but a higher risk of major bleeding.




STROKE PREVENTION | Antiplatelet therapy


RCT
BAFTA study - Aspirin vs Warfarin in Elderly Patients with AF (2007) [PubMed abstract]
  • The BAFTA study enrolled 973 elderly patients with atrial fibrillation
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age ≥ 75 years
  • Atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter
Main exclusion criteria
  • Rheumatic heart disease
  • Major nontraumatic hemorrhage within 5 years
  • History of intracranial hemorrhage
  • Peptic ulcer disease
  • BP > 180/110
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 81 years
  • Taking warfarin - 40%
  • Taking aspirin - 42%
  • History of stroke or TIA - 13%
  • CHADS2 score: 1 to 2 - 72% | 3 to 6 - 28%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (488 patients) - Warfarin (target INR 2-3)
  • Group 2 (485 patients) - Aspirin 75 mg once daily
Primary outcome: Composite of any nonfatal disabling stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic), intracranial hemorrhage, or clinically significant arterial embolism
Results

Duration: Average 2.7 years
Outcome Warfarin Aspirin Comparisons
Primary outcome 4.9% 9.9% HR 0.48, 95%CI [0.28 - 0.80], p=0.0027
Stroke (all) 4.3% 9.1% HR 0.46, 95%CI [0.26 - 0.79], p=0.003
Hemorrhagic stroke 0.5% 0.4% HR 1.15, 95%CI [0.29 - 4.77], p=0.83
Overall mortality 22% 22% HR 0.95, 95%CI [0.72 - 1.26], p=0.73
Major hemorrhage 5.1% 5.2% HR 0.96, 95%CI [0.53 - 1.75], p=0.90
Drug discontinuation 33% 24% N/A
  • In the warfarin group, 26% of the subjects crossed over to aspirin at some point during the study. In the aspirin group, 17% of patients were taking warfarin at some point during the study.
  • In the warfarin group, INR was in the therapeutic range 67% of the time

Findings: These data support the use of anticoagulation therapy for people aged over 75 who have atrial fibrillation, unless there are contraindications or the patient decides that the benefits are not worth the inconvenience.

RCT
AVERROES study - Aspirin vs Apixaban in AF, NEJM (2011) [PubMed abstract]
  • The AVERROES study enrolled 5599 patients with atrial fibrillation who were at increased risk of stroke
Main inclusion criteria
  • Age ≥ 50 years
  • Atrial fibrillation
  • Deemed unsuitable for warfarin
  • At least one of the following: prior stroke or TIA, age ≥ 75 years, hypertension, diabetes, NYHA class II - IV heart failure, EF ≤ 35%, or documented PAD
Main exclusion criteria
  • Heart valve disease requiring surgery
  • Recent major hemorrhage within 6 months or high risk of bleeding
  • CrCl < 25 ml/min
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 70 years
  • Average CHADS2 score - 2.0
  • Prior stroke or TIA - 14%
  • AF class: paroxysmal - 27% | persistent - 21% | permanent - 52%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (2808 patients) - Apixaban 2.5 - 5 mg twice a day
  • Group 2 (2791 patients) - Aspirin 81 - 324 mg once daily
Primary outcome: Occurrence of stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) or systemic embolism
Results

Duration: After an average follow-up of 1.1 years, the study was stopped early due to clear superiority of apixaban
Outcome Apixaban Aspirin Comparisons
Primary outcome 1.8% 4.0% HR 0.45, 95%CI [0.32 - 0.62], p<0.001
Stroke 1.0% 3.8% HR 0.46, 95%CI [0.33 - 0.65], p<0.001
Hemorrhagic stroke 0.21% 0.32% HR 0.67, 95%CI [0.24 - 1.88], p=0.45
Overall mortality 3.95% 5.02% HR 0.79, 95%CI [0.62 - 1.02], p=0.07
Major bleeding 1.6% 1.4% HR 1.13, 95%CI [0.74 - 1.75], p=0.57

Findings: In patients with atrial fibrillation for whom vitamin K antagonist therapy was unsuitable, apixaban reduced the risk of stroke or systemic embolism without significantly increasing the risk of major bleeding or intracranial hemorrhage.

RCT
ACTIVE W trial - Vitamin K antagonist vs Clopidogrel + Aspirin in AF, Lancet (2006) [PubMed abstract]
  • The ACTIVE W trial enrolled 6706 patients with AF
Main inclusion criteria
  • AF + one of the following: age ≥ 75 years, treatment for hypertension, previous TIA/stroke, previous systemic embolism, EF < 45%, PAD, (patients 55 - 74 years with diabetes or CAD were also eligible)
Main exclusion criteria
  • Peptic ulcer disease within previous 6 months
  • Previous intracerebral hemorrhage
  • Thrombocytopenia (< 50,000/mm³)
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 70 years
  • Average CHA2DS2-VASc score - 2
  • Duration of AF > 2 years - 60%
  • History of stroke/TIA - 15%
  • AF type: permanent - 69% | persistent - 13% | paroxysmal - 18%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (3335 patients) - Aspirin 75 - 100 mg once daily + Clopidogrel 75 mg once daily
  • Group 2 (3371 patients) - Vitamin K antagonist (target INR of 2-3)
  • Treatment was open-label
Primary outcome: Composite of stroke, non-CNS systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, or vascular death
Results

Duration: After a median follow-up of 1.28 years, the study was stopped early because of clear warfarin superiority
Outcome (%/year) ASA + Clopidogrel Vitamin K antagonist Comparisons
Primary outcome 5.6% 3.93% HR 1.44, [1.18 - 1.76], p=0.0003
Stroke 2.39% 1.4% HR 1.72, [1.24 - 2.37], p=0.001
Non-CNS systemic embolism 0.43% 0.10% HR 4.66, [1.58 - 13.8], p=0.005
Myocardial infarction 0.86% 0.55% HR 1.58, [0.94 - 2.67], p=0.09
Overall mortality 3.8% 3.76% HR 1.01, [0.81 - 1.26], p=0.91
Severe and fatal hemorrhage 2.42% 2.21% HR 1.10, [0.83 - 1.45], p=0.53
Primary outcome + major bleed 7.56% 5.45% HR 1.41, [1.19 - 1.67], p<0.0001
Drug discontinuation 13.8% 7.8% N/A
  • INR was in the therapeutic range 64% of the time

Findings: Oral anticoagulation therapy is superior to clopidogrel plus aspirin for prevention of vascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation at high risk of stroke, especially in those already taking oral anticoagulation therapy.

RCT
ACTIVE A trial - Clopidogrel + Aspirin vs Aspirin in AF, NEJM (2009) [PubMed abstract]
  • The ACTIVE A trial enrolled 7554 patients with atrial fibrillation who were unsuited for vitamin K antagonists
Main inclusion criteria
  • AF + one of the following: age ≥ 75 years, hypertension, previous TIA/stroke, previous systemic embolism, EF < 45%, PAD, (patients 55 - 74 years with diabetes or CAD were also eligible)
Main exclusion criteria
  • Peptic ulcer disease within previous 6 months
  • Previous intracerebral hemorrhage
  • Thrombocytopenia (< 50,000/mm³)
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 71 years
  • Average CHADS2 score - 2
  • Duration of AF > 2 years - 53%
  • History of stroke/TIA - 13%
  • AF type: permanent - 64% | persistent - 14% | paroxysmal - 22%
  • Reason for not taking vitamin K antagonist: bleeding risk - 23% | doctor deemed inappropriate - 50% | patient declined - 26%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (3772 patients) - Clopidogrel 75 mg once daily + Aspirin 75 - 100 mg once daily
  • Group 2 (3782 patients) - Placebo + Aspirin 75 - 100 mg once daily
Primary outcome: Composite of stroke, systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, or death from vascular causes
Results

Duration: Median of 3.6 years
Outcome (%/year) Clopidogrel Placebo Comparisons
Primary outcome 6.8% 7.6% RR 0.89, 95%CI [0.81 - 0.98], p=0.01
Any stroke 2.4% 3.3% RR 0.72, 95%CI [0.62 - 0.83], p<0.001
Myocardial infarction 0.7% 0.9% RR 0.78, 95%CI [0.59 - 1.03], p=0.08
Overall mortality 6.4% 6.6% RR 0.98, 95%CI [0.89 - 1.08], p=0.69
Major bleeding 2.0% 1.3% RR 1.57, 95%CI [1.29 - 1.92], p<0.001
Any bleeding 9.7% 5.7% RR 1.68, 95%CI [1.52 - 1.85], p<0.001

Findings: In patients with atrial fibrillation for whom vitamin K-antagonist therapy was unsuitable, the addition of clopidogrel to aspirin reduced the risk of major vascular events, especially stroke, and increased the risk of major hemorrhage




STOPPING ANTICOAGULATION




POSTOPERATIVE ATRIAL FIBRILLATION


RCT
CTSN Study - Rate Control vs Rhythm Control after Cardiac Surgery, NEJM (2016) [PubMed abstract]
  • The CTSN study randomized 523 patients with no prior history of AF who experienced AF after cardiac surgery
Main inclusion criteria
  • Postoperative AF that persisted for more than 60 minutes or recurrent episodes of AF during the index hospitalization (≤ 7 days after surgery)
  • Hemodynamically stable
  • Underwent elective cardiac surgery to treat coronary artery disease or heart valve disease
Main exclusion criteria
  • Prior history of AF
Baseline characteristics
  • Average age 69 years
  • Heart valve disease - 55%
  • Index procedure: CABG - 40%, valve repair - 16%, valve replacement - 24%, CABG + valve repair - 3.3% CABG + valve replacement - 16%
  • Taking beta blocker - 59%
  • Taking calcium channel blocker - 21%
Randomized treatment groups
  • Group 1 (262 patients) - Rate control with a target resting heart rate < 100 bpm
  • Group 2 (261 patients) - Rhythm control with amiodarone. If AF persisted for 24 - 48 hours after randomization, direct current cardioversion was recommended.
  • The average time to the onset of postoperative AF was 2.4 days
  • If patients remained in AF or had recurrent AF 48 hours after randomization, anticoagulation with warfarin (INR 2 - 3) was recommended, and bridging with LMWH was allowed. Anticoagulation was recommended to be continued for 60 days unless complications occurred.
Primary outcome: Total number of days in the hospital (including emergency department visits) within 60 days after randomization
Results

Duration: 60 days
Outcome Rate control Rhythm control Comparisons
Primary outcome (median # of days) 5.1 days 5.0 days p=0.76
Hospital readmission (events/100 patient-months) 18.5 18.5 p=0.99
Stable heart rhythm (no AF) at discharge 89.9% 93.5% p=0.14
Stroke or TIA 0.8% 0.4% p=0.40
Met criteria for anticoagulation 46.2% 31.8% N/A
Received direct-current cardioversion 9.2% 13.8% N/A
  • In the rate control group, 26.7% of patients received amiodarone or direct-current cardioversion
  • In the rhythm control group, 23.8% of patients did not complete the full course of amiodarone, typically due to side effects. These patients received beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, or both.
  • There was no significant difference in serious or nonserious adverse events between the groups

Findings: Strategies for rate control and rhythm control to treat postoperative atrial fibrillation were associated with equal numbers of days of hospitalization, similar complication rates, and similarly low rates of persistent atrial fibrillation 60 days after onset. Neither treatment strategy showed a net clinical advantage over the other.




BIBLIOGRAPHY